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2024-12-13 05:54:41

Analyst: The interest rate of the European Central Bank will be pushed to the low end of the neutral range. Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Saltmarsh Economics, said that the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, which is the fourth time in this easing cycle. The monetary policy statement reiterated that the Committee would not commit to a specific interest rate path in advance. However, the new forecast shows that the core inflation rate is 1.9% in 2026 and 2027, which indicates that interest rates may continue to push to the low end of the neutral range.Real estate stocks are active again and again. Huayuan Real Estate and Qixia Construction both have daily limit, while Huayuan Real Estate, Qixia Construction, Xinhualian and Xinhuangpu have daily limit, while Suzhou Gaoxin, China Wuyi and Shahe shares have followed suit.The news of the US stock market was delivered before the market. ① The three major stock index futures of the US stock market fell, and the market focused on PPI data. ② As of press time, Dow futures fell 0.19%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.18%, and Nasdaq futures fell 0.27%. (3) Germany's DAX index rose by 0.06%, Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.11%, France's CAC40 index fell by 0.04% and Europe's Stoxx 50 index fell by 0.03%. ④WTI crude oil fell 0.06% to 70.25 USD/barrel. Brent crude oil fell 0.07% to $73.47/barrel. ⑤ American finance is under great pressure, with a budget deficit of $366.8 billion in November, up 17% year-on-year. ⑥ ING is bearish on the prospect of commodities next year, and gold is expected to outshine others. ⑦ Macy's department store fell 8.2% before the market, and the company lowered its profit outlook after discovering accounting errors. 8 Broadcom's share price rose by 4.3% before the market closed. In the news, Apple may cooperate with Broadcom to develop AI server chips. 9 ⑨Adobe's U.S. stocks fell by about 9% before the market, and the company's annual performance guidance was worse than expected.


ECB: Domestic inflation has dropped slightly, but it is still at a high level. ECB: Staff now expect the economic recovery to be slower than predicted in September. As time goes on, the influence of restrictive monetary policy gradually fades, which should support the recovery of domestic demand. Domestic inflation has declined slightly, but it is still at a high level, mainly because wages and prices in some industries are still being adjusted to adapt to the past inflation surge.The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, 52.2 billion yuan more than the previous day. Up to now, the turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, 52.2 billion yuan more than the previous day. Among them, the turnover of Shanghai Stock Exchange was 584.4 billion yuan, that of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 899.8 billion yuan, and that of Beizheng 50 was 15.8 billion yuan.ECB: The appropriate monetary policy stance will be determined by data dependence and successive meetings. Inflation prospect, core inflation and its transmission will determine the interest rate path.


Indian government sources: negotiations on a free trade agreement between India and Britain will begin at the end of January next year.Analyst: The interest rate of the European Central Bank will be pushed to the low end of the neutral range. Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Saltmarsh Economics, said that the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, which is the fourth time in this easing cycle. The monetary policy statement reiterated that the Committee would not commit to a specific interest rate path in advance. However, the new forecast shows that the core inflation rate is 1.9% in 2026 and 2027, which indicates that interest rates may continue to push to the low end of the neutral range.India imported 841,993 tons of palm oil in November, compared with 845,682 tons in October.

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